CPI YoY
3.8%
Fresh read
Apr 1, 202644/100
Broad consumer-price pressure against the FIRE spending plan.
FIRE Weather
Partial data delayed
The macro forecast for your FIRE plan.
Inflation, rates, income resilience, and market mood translated into one planning read.
All public data series are delayed: CPIAUCSL: FRED CPIAUCSL timed out; PCEPI: FRED PCEPI timed out; FEDFUNDS: FRED FEDFUNDS timed out; more delayed series; showing last-known-good values from 2026-05-21.
FRED is delayed, so this is the last good FIRE Weather read from 2026-05-21.
FIRE score: 63/100.
Inflation pressure
WatchHow quickly expenses are pushing the FIRE target upward.
Pressure
44/100
PCE YoY
3.5%
Fresh read
Mar 1, 202643/100
The Fed-friendly inflation lens for real-return assumptions.
Rate pressure
WatchDebt, housing, bond, and cash-yield weather.
Pressure
50/100
Fed funds
3.6%
Steady
Apr 1, 202643/100
Cash yields and variable-rate debt both listen to this lane.
10Y yield
4.6%
Fresh read
May 18, 202668/100
A quick read on discount rates, bonds, and long-term borrowing.
Mortgage
6.5%
Fresh read
May 21, 202646/100
Housing math gets louder when this number rises.
Income resilience
WatchHow supportive the job and wage backdrop looks.
Pressure
38/100
Unemployment
4.3%
Heating up
Apr 1, 202620/100
The job-market safety buffer behind aggressive FIRE moves.
Payrolls
0.8%
Fresh read
Apr 1, 202658/100
Three-month job growth annualized into a simple pressure read.
Real wages
-0.2%
Fresh read
Apr 1, 202648/100
Pay growth after inflation; useful for savings-rate confidence.
Market mood
ClearPortfolio stress, volatility, and recession context.
Pressure
7/100
S&P 500 3M
9.1%
Fresh read
May 15, 20260/100
A broad market mood check for portfolio stress.
VIX
17.4
Fresh read
May 20, 202612/100
The market anxiety gauge; useful context, not a trade trigger.
US recession
Off
Steady
Apr 1, 202612/100
NBER recession indicator. It updates slowly, but it matters.
Planning playbook
What to do with the weather
Treat these as stale planning readings until FRED responds again.
Recheck live data before making a rate, housing, or market-sensitive decision.
FIRE Weather is educational context, not investment, tax, legal, or employment advice.